England and South Africa have already secured semi-final spots at the T20 World Cup, leaving two places to be decided. India and West Indies can still join South Africa from Super 8s Group 1, while New Zealand and Pakistan are contesting the second qualifying spot in Group 2 behind England. All teams have one match remaining.
Group 1 — South Africa, India, West Indies, Zimbabwe
Standings (after two games)
– South Africa (qualified): 2 games, +2.890 NRR, 4 points
– West Indies: 2 games, +1.791 NRR, 2 points
– India: 2 games, −0.100 NRR, 2 points
– Zimbabwe (eliminated): 2 games, −4.475 NRR, 0 points
Scenario
– South Africa are already through after beating India and West Indies and face Zimbabwe in Delhi (Sunday).
– India and West Indies both have two points after beating Zimbabwe and losing to South Africa. The winner of their head-to-head in Kolkata (Sunday) will advance to the semi-finals.
– If India vs West Indies is abandoned, West Indies would progress on superior net run rate.
– Zimbabwe are eliminated.
Remaining fixtures: South Africa vs Zimbabwe; India vs West Indies (both Sunday).
Group 2 — England, New Zealand, Pakistan, Sri Lanka
Standings (after two games)
– England (qualified): 2 games, +1.491 NRR, 4 points
– New Zealand: 2 games, +3.050 NRR, 3 points
– Pakistan: 2 games, −0.461 NRR, 1 point
– Sri Lanka (eliminated): 2 games, −2.800 NRR, 0 points
Scenario
– England have sealed a knockout place and will top the group unless they lose to New Zealand in Colombo (Friday).
– New Zealand will qualify if they beat England or if that match is washed out, because Pakistan could not catch their points total in those cases.
– If New Zealand lose and remain on three points, Pakistan can still overtake them by beating Sri Lanka in Pallekele (Saturday), but Pakistan’s current net run rate is well below New Zealand’s, so they would need a very large victory margin.
– The net run rate swing required is roughly equivalent to 70 runs across the two results — for example, New Zealand losing to England by 35 runs while Pakistan beat Sri Lanka by 35 runs would be in the ballpark.
– New Zealand’s earlier Super 8s game with Pakistan was rained off; both sides took a point.
– Sri Lanka are eliminated.
Remaining fixtures: England vs New Zealand (Friday); Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Saturday).